PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BBL#62 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SINNERS#44 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BBL ban
50%60%
BBL · 0 mapsedge SINNERS +10%SINNERS · 11 maps
CacheBBL ban
40%42%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even -2%SINNERS · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%50%
BBL · 1 mapedge BBL +10%SINNERS · 8 maps
AncientSINNERS ban
40%36%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even +4%SINNERS · 7 maps
InfernoBBL pick
50%50%
BBL · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SINNERS · 6 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
40%40%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even +0%SINNERS · 1 map
DefaultSINNERS pick
60%50%
BBL · 1 mapedge BBL +10%SINNERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
3. PickBBL take Inferno
4. PickSINNERS take Default
5. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
6. BanBBL remove Cache
DeciderMirage (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
BBL 57%SINNERS 43%
The model gave 57% on BBL — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Nukeprediction missed3:13
BBL 53%SINNERS 47%
The model gave 53% on BBL — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 52%
Series resultSINNERS 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2