HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO1
result vs prediction
BC.Game#42 in the world · win 13:6series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 13:6
OG#124 in the world · loss 6:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBC.Game ban
53%50%
BC.Game · 11 mapsnearly even +3%OG · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
75%69%
BC.Game · 8 mapsedge BC.Game +6%OG · 12 maps
MirageOG ban
69%58%
BC.Game · 9 mapsedge BC.Game +11%OG · 8 maps
CacheOG ban
67%38%
BC.Game · 11 mapsedge BC.Game +29%OG · 4 maps
InfernoBC.Game ban
56%31%
BC.Game · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +25%OG · 9 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
40%60%
BC.Game · 6 mapsedge OG +20%OG · 6 maps
AnubisOG ban
40%50%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge OG +10%OG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanOG remove Anubis
3. BanBC.Game remove Inferno
4. BanOG remove Cache
5. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
6. BanOG remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (75% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
BC.Game 77%OG 23%
The model gave 77% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 80%
Series resultBC.Game 13:6
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1