Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
BC.Game#51 in the world · win 13:10series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 13:10
WBT#91 in the world · loss 10:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisBC.Game ban
40%52%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge WBT +12%WBT · 19 maps
NukeBC.Game ban
46%57%
BC.Game · 9 mapsedge WBT +11%WBT · 10 maps
CacheWBT ban
77%31%
BC.Game · 9 mapsedge BC.Game +46%WBT · 9 maps
MirageWBT ban
64%50%
BC.Game · 7 mapsedge BC.Game +14%WBT · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
75%63%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +12%WBT · 12 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
43%56%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge WBT +13%WBT · 12 maps
InfernoWBT ban
56%50%
BC.Game · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +6%WBT · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanWBT remove Inferno
3. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
4. BanWBT remove Cache
5. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (75% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
BC.Game 64%WBT 36%
The model gave 64% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 56%
Series resultBC.Game 13:10
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1