NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
WBT Academy#120 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
53%71%
Bebop · 13 mapsedge WBT Academy +18%WBT Academy · 3 maps
MirageWBT Academy pick
33%57%
Bebop · 11 mapsedge WBT Academy +24%WBT Academy · 3 maps
NukeBebop ban
43%38%
Bebop · 10 mapsedge Bebop +5%WBT Academy · 4 maps
AnubisBebop ban
29%44%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge WBT Academy +15%WBT Academy · 5 maps
CacheWBT Academy ban
44%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +6%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
Bebop · 4 mapsedge WBT Academy +10%WBT Academy · 1 map
InfernoWBT Academy ban
38%50%
Bebop · 4 mapsedge WBT Academy +12%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Anubis
2. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickWBT Academy take Mirage
5. BanWBT Academy remove Cache
6. BanBebop remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct7:13
Bebop 31%WBT Academy 69%
The model gave 69% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Bebop 34%WBT Academy 66%
The model gave 66% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by Bebop.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Bebop 56%WBT Academy 44%
The model gave 56% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 62%
Series resultBebop 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3