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CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mai Tai#310 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
33%36%
benched gods · 8 mapsnearly even -3%Mai Tai · 18 maps
Defaultbenched gods pick
82%36%
benched gods · 7 mapsedge benched gods +46%Mai Tai · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%46%
benched gods · 12 mapsnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 9 maps
CacheMai Tai ban
65%44%
benched gods · 13 mapsedge benched gods +21%Mai Tai · 5 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
43%30%
benched gods · 10 mapsedge benched gods +13%Mai Tai · 6 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
42%36%
benched gods · 8 mapsedge benched gods +6%Mai Tai · 7 maps
Nukebenched gods ban
50%33%
benched gods · 0 mapsedge benched gods +17%Mai Tai · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
2. BanMai Tai remove Cache
3. Pickbenched gods take Default
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
benched gods 89%Mai Tai 11%
The model gave 89% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
benched gods 72%Mai Tai 28%
The model gave 72% on benched gods — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
benched gods 64%Mai Tai 36%
The model gave 64% on benched gods — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoritebenched gods · 75%
Series resultMai Tai 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3