CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#196 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Quintessence#162 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragebenched gods ban
32%71%
benched gods · 18 mapsedge Quintessence +39%Quintessence · 3 maps
Cachebenched gods pick
59%50%
benched gods · 18 mapsedge benched gods +9%Quintessence · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
41%50%
benched gods · 18 mapsedge Quintessence +9%Quintessence · 0 maps
AnubisQuintessence ban
50%50%
benched gods · 16 mapsnearly even +0%Quintessence · 0 maps
DefaultQuintessence ban
88%50%
benched gods · 13 mapsedge benched gods +38%Quintessence · 0 maps
Dust2Quintessence pick
36%50%
benched gods · 10 mapsedge Quintessence +14%Quintessence · 2 maps
Infernobenched gods ban
50%60%
benched gods · 4 mapsedge Quintessence +10%Quintessence · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
2. BanQuintessence remove Anubis
3. Pickbenched gods take Cache
4. PickQuintessence take Dust2
5. BanQuintessence remove Default
6. Banbenched gods remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (41% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
benched gods 62%Quintessence 38%
The model gave 62% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
benched gods 33%Quintessence 67%
The model gave 67% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
benched gods 40%Quintessence 60%
The model gave 60% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoritebenched gods · 58%
Series resultQuintessence 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3