CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
megoshort#179 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBERG pick
50%56%
BERG · 14 mapsedge megoshort +6%megoshort · 12 maps
Miragemegoshort pick
25%44%
BERG · 8 mapsedge megoshort +19%megoshort · 14 maps
Infernomegoshort ban
36%36%
BERG · 7 mapsnearly even +0%megoshort · 7 maps
Dust2BERG ban
43%54%
BERG · 3 mapsedge megoshort +11%megoshort · 9 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
19%50%
BERG · 12 mapsedge megoshort +31%megoshort · 0 maps
CacheBERG ban
60%55%
BERG · 1 mapedge BERG +5%megoshort · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
BERG · 2 mapsnearly even +0%megoshort · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBERG remove Cache
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickBERG take Ancient
4. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
5. Banmegoshort remove Inferno
6. BanBERG remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
BERG 50%megoshort 50%
The model gave 50% on BERG — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoritemegoshort · 53%
Series resultmegoshort 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1