CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
36%27%
BESTIA Academy · 7 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +9%GUARA · 7 maps
InfernoGUARA ban
54%25%
BESTIA Academy · 9 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +29%GUARA · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%27%
BESTIA Academy · 3 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +30%GUARA · 7 maps
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
42%40%
BESTIA Academy · 8 mapsnearly even +2%GUARA · 1 map
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
63%38%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +25%GUARA · 4 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
57%67%
BESTIA Academy · 3 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 2 maps
CacheBESTIA Academy ban
50%60%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Cache
2. BanGUARA remove Inferno
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
4. PickGUARA take Default
5. BanGUARA remove Dust2
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (57% / 27%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
BESTIA Academy 80%GUARA 20%
The model gave 80% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
BESTIA Academy 76%GUARA 24%
The model gave 76% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 54%
Series resultBESTIA Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2