?
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sementes do Mal#245 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBESTIA Academy pick
69%40%
BESTIA Academy · 12 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +29%Sementes do Mal · 1 map
DefaultBESTIA Academy ban
56%50%
BESTIA Academy · 5 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +6%Sementes do Mal · 4 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
40%29%
BESTIA Academy · 6 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +11%Sementes do Mal · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%33%
BESTIA Academy · 6 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +17%Sementes do Mal · 2 maps
AncientSementes do Mal ban
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 6 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%Sementes do Mal · 1 map
CacheSementes do Mal pick
60%33%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +27%Sementes do Mal · 5 maps
NukeSementes do Mal ban
57%50%
BESTIA Academy · 3 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +7%Sementes do Mal · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
2. BanSementes do Mal remove Nuke
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Inferno
4. PickSementes do Mal take Cache
5. BanSementes do Mal remove Ancient
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
BESTIA Academy 69%Sementes do Mal 31%
The model gave 69% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
BESTIA Academy 60%Sementes do Mal 40%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 55%
Series resultBESTIA Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2