FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Procyon#117 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
58%45%
BESTIA · 15 mapsedge BESTIA +13%Procyon · 18 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
79%69%
BESTIA · 10 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Procyon · 22 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%47%
BESTIA · 7 mapsedge BESTIA +8%Procyon · 15 maps
MirageProcyon ban
58%56%
BESTIA · 15 mapsnearly even +2%Procyon · 5 maps
NukeBESTIA ban
45%54%
BESTIA · 7 mapsedge Procyon +9%Procyon · 9 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%73%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Procyon +23%Procyon · 7 maps
CacheProcyon ban
36%50%
BESTIA · 7 mapsedge Procyon +14%Procyon · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanProcyon remove Cache
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickProcyon take Inferno
5. BanProcyon remove Mirage
6. BanBESTIA remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (55% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
BESTIA 59%Procyon 41%
The model gave 59% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
BESTIA 65%Procyon 35%
The model gave 65% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 61%
Series resultBESTIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2