NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
57%56%
BET-M · 10 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 35 maps
Dust2possible decider
41%40%
BET-M · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 26 maps
AncientBET-M ban
25%63%
BET-M · 12 mapsedge Just Players +38%Just Players · 26 maps
NukeBET-M pick
50%35%
BET-M · 14 mapsedge BET-M +15%Just Players · 16 maps
AnubisBET-M ban
55%54%
BET-M · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 9 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
59%50%
BET-M · 13 mapsedge BET-M +9%Just Players · 0 maps
CacheJust Players ban
50%31%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge BET-M +19%Just Players · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickBET-M take Nuke
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Cache
6. BanBET-M remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (41% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
BET-M 15%Just Players 85%
The model gave 85% on Just Players — the map was taken by BET-M.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
BET-M 68%Just Players 32%
The model gave 68% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteBET-M · 61%
Series resultBET-M 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2