IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#14 in the world · win 13:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 13:2
M80#27 in the world · loss 2:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBETBOOM ban
29%58%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge M80 +29%M80 · 8 maps
AncientM80 ban
50%36%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +14%M80 · 7 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%50%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
75%71%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsnearly even +4%M80 · 3 maps
NukeM80 ban
55%50%
BETBOOM · 7 mapsedge BETBOOM +5%M80 · 0 maps
AnubisM80 ban
67%50%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%M80 · 2 maps
DefaultBETBOOM ban
50%67%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge M80 +17%M80 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
4. BanM80 remove Ancient
5. BanBETBOOM remove Default
6. BanM80 remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (75% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
BETBOOM 55%M80 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 56%
Series resultBETBOOM 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1