IEM Cologne Major 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#13 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
67%62%
BETBOOM · 8 mapsedge BETBOOM +5%Vitality · 9 maps
NukeBETBOOM pick
62%67%
BETBOOM · 9 mapsedge Vitality +5%Vitality · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
33%73%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge Vitality +40%Vitality · 7 maps
AnubisVitality ban
67%38%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +29%Vitality · 4 maps
OverpassBETBOOM ban
33%63%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge Vitality +30%Vitality · 4 maps
AncientVitality ban
63%50%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsedge BETBOOM +13%Vitality · 0 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%57%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
6. BanBETBOOM remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (33% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
BETBOOM 21%Vitality 79%
The model gave 79% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
BETBOOM 47%Vitality 53%
The model gave 53% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 84%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2