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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Illyrians#126 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageIllyrians pick
56%56%
Betclic · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 23 maps
Dust2Illyrians ban
67%42%
Betclic · 5 mapsedge Betclic +25%Illyrians · 22 maps
CacheBetclic pick
65%71%
Betclic · 13 mapsedge Illyrians +6%Illyrians · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
Betclic · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 14 maps
AnubisBetclic ban
38%73%
Betclic · 12 mapsedge Illyrians +35%Illyrians · 7 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
53%40%
Betclic · 11 mapsedge Betclic +13%Illyrians · 1 map
DefaultBetclic ban
50%43%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge Betclic +7%Illyrians · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Default
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickBetclic take Cache
4. PickIllyrians take Mirage
5. BanIllyrians remove Dust2
6. BanBetclic remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Betclic 53%Illyrians 47%
The model gave 53% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Betclic 48%Illyrians 52%
The model gave 52% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 66%
Series resultBetclic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2