BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · win 13:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 13:2
Metizport#90 in the world · loss 2:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport ban
25%50%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Metizport +25%Metizport · 0 maps
AnubisMetizport ban
71%50%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +21%Metizport · 0 maps
InfernoMetizport ban
29%50%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Metizport +21%Metizport · 0 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
40%33%
Betclic · 1 mapedge Betclic +7%Metizport · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even +0%Metizport · 1 map
MirageBetclic ban
33%50%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge Metizport +17%Metizport · 0 maps
AncientBetclic ban
40%50%
Betclic · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanMetizport remove Inferno
3. BanBetclic remove Ancient
4. BanMetizport remove Anubis
5. BanBetclic remove Mirage
6. BanMetizport remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Betclic 25%Metizport 75%
The model gave 75% on Metizport — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 51%
Series resultBetclic 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1