PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemesis#46 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemesis pick
54%57%
Betclic · 9 mapsnearly even -3%Nemesis · 24 maps
Nukepossible decider
53%65%
Betclic · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +12%Nemesis · 13 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
71%58%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +13%Nemesis · 20 maps
CacheBetclic pick
60%67%
Betclic · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +7%Nemesis · 11 maps
MirageNemesis ban
50%38%
Betclic · 10 mapsedge Betclic +12%Nemesis · 12 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
50%75%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge Nemesis +25%Nemesis · 16 maps
AnubisNemesis ban
38%50%
Betclic · 12 mapsedge Nemesis +12%Nemesis · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanNemesis remove Anubis
3. PickBetclic take Cache
4. PickNemesis take Ancient
5. BanNemesis remove Mirage
6. BanBetclic remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (53% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Betclic 65%Nemesis 35%
The model gave 65% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Betclic 61%Nemesis 39%
The model gave 61% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 54%
Series resultBetclic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2