BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RBLS#93 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
33%57%
Betclic · 5 mapsedge RBLS +24%RBLS · 10 maps
AnubisRBLS ban
71%33%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +38%RBLS · 2 maps
InfernoRBLS pick
29%67%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge RBLS +38%RBLS · 2 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
40%50%
Betclic · 1 mapedge RBLS +10%RBLS · 4 maps
AncientRBLS ban
40%43%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even -3%RBLS · 3 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
50%50%
Betclic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%RBLS · 4 maps
DefaultBetclic pick
60%60%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even +0%RBLS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanRBLS remove Anubis
3. PickBetclic take Default
4. PickRBLS take Inferno
5. BanRBLS remove Ancient
6. BanBetclic remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (33% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
Betclic 37%RBLS 63%
The model gave 63% on RBLS — the map was taken by Betclic.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Betclic 85%RBLS 15%
The model gave 85% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 60%
Series resultBetclic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2