CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
62%50%
BIG Academy · 9 mapsedge BIG Academy +12%Endless Journey · 2 maps
OverpassBIG Academy pick
69%60%
BIG Academy · 9 mapsedge BIG Academy +9%Endless Journey · 1 map
AncientEndless Journey ban
67%50%
BIG Academy · 5 mapsedge BIG Academy +17%Endless Journey · 2 maps
InfernoBIG Academy ban
50%50%
BIG Academy · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Endless Journey · 2 maps
MirageEndless Journey pick
50%67%
BIG Academy · 2 mapsedge Endless Journey +17%Endless Journey · 2 maps
NukeBIG Academy ban
50%63%
BIG Academy · 0 mapsedge Endless Journey +13%Endless Journey · 4 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
57%50%
BIG Academy · 3 mapsedge BIG Academy +7%Endless Journey · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickBIG Academy take Overpass
4. PickEndless Journey take Mirage
5. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
6. BanBIG Academy remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (62% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
BIG Academy 50%Endless Journey 50%
The model gave 50% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG Academy · 54%
Series resultEndless Journey 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1