?
XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BIG#27 in the world · win 16:14
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 16:14
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · loss 14:16
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
BIG · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Lynn Vision · 6 maps
Dust2BIG ban
50%67%
BIG · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
InfernoLynn Vision ban
57%33%
BIG · 3 mapsedge BIG +24%Lynn Vision · 5 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
50%50%
BIG · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
NukeBIG ban
43%57%
BIG · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +14%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
OverpassBIG ban
38%67%
BIG · 4 mapsedge Lynn Vision +29%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
40%43%
BIG · 1 mapnearly even -3%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Nuke
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. BanBIG remove Dust2
4. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
5. BanBIG remove Overpass
6. BanLynn Vision remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:14
BIG 50%Lynn Vision 50%
The model gave 50% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG · 53%
Series resultBIG 16:14
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1