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1win Private Club Season 2 · BO3
pre-match prediction
BIG#37 in the world
series probability
51%49%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
The MongolZ#20 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoThe MongolZ ban
67%50%
BIG · 8 mapsedge BIG +17%The MongolZ · 8 maps
MirageThe MongolZ pick
50%50%
BIG · 10 mapsnearly even +0%The MongolZ · 6 maps
CacheBIG pick
53%50%
BIG · 13 mapsnearly even +3%The MongolZ · 2 maps
AncientBIG ban
45%67%
BIG · 7 mapsedge The MongolZ +22%The MongolZ · 5 maps
Dust2BIG ban
50%63%
BIG · 4 mapsedge The MongolZ +13%The MongolZ · 4 maps
NukeThe MongolZ ban
57%38%
BIG · 3 mapsedge BIG +19%The MongolZ · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Dust2
2. BanThe MongolZ remove Nuke
3. PickBIG take Cache
4. PickThe MongolZ take Mirage
5. BanThe MongolZ remove Inferno
6. BanBIG remove Ancient