Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Black Phoenix#94 in the worldseries probability
65%35%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
67%69%
Black Phoenix · 14 mapsnearly even -2%Bebop · 12 maps
MirageBebop pick
50%37%
Black Phoenix · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%Bebop · 15 maps
NukeBlack Phoenix ban
40%43%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Bebop · 10 maps
CacheBebop ban
60%50%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsedge Black Phoenix +10%Bebop · 4 maps
InfernoBebop ban
67%44%
Black Phoenix · 5 mapsedge Black Phoenix +23%Bebop · 5 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
25%25%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%38%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Bebop · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanBebop remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (43% / 38%)