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CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ENCE#114 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ENCE ban
50%50%
Black Phoenix · 34 mapsnearly even +0%ENCE · 2 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
44%53%
Black Phoenix · 21 mapedge ENCE +9%ENCE · 15 maps
NukeENCE ban
52%43%
Black Phoenix · 17 mapsedge Black Phoenix +9%ENCE · 10 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
17%55%
Black Phoenix · 14 mapsedge ENCE +38%ENCE · 7 maps
InfernoENCE pick
63%64%
Black Phoenix · 12 mapsnearly even -1%ENCE · 7 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix pick
64%55%
Black Phoenix · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +9%ENCE · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%50%
Black Phoenix · 5 mapsedge Black Phoenix +6%ENCE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanENCE remove Dust2
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Cache
4. PickENCE take Inferno
5. BanENCE remove Nuke
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Black Phoenix 13%ENCE 87%
The model gave 87% on ENCE — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
Black Phoenix 63%ENCE 37%
The model gave 63% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 57%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2