CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
62%58%
Black Phoenix · 49 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUSTEC · 39 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC pick
50%52%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUSTEC · 29 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
45%50%
Black Phoenix · 25 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 18 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
23%67%
Black Phoenix · 18 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +44%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
64%44%
Black Phoenix · 18 mapsedge Black Phoenix +20%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC ban
52%47%
Black Phoenix · 17 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%56%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Nuke
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Black Phoenix 57%ex-RUSTEC 43%
The model gave 57% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
Black Phoenix 12%ex-RUSTEC 88%
The model gave 88% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 52%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2