CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
60%56%
Black Phoenix · 21 mapnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 12 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
44%50%
Black Phoenix · 14 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +6%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
InfernoHYPERSPIRIT ban
58%55%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsnearly even +3%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
18%36%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +18%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
CacheHYPERSPIRIT pick
62%67%
Black Phoenix · 9 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +5%HYPERSPIRIT · 5 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
50%50%
Black Phoenix · 12 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%63%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Cache
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
Black Phoenix 26%HYPERSPIRIT 74%
The model gave 74% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Black Phoenix 57%HYPERSPIRIT 43%
The model gave 57% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Black Phoenix 54%HYPERSPIRIT 46%
The model gave 54% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 58%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3