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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Inner Circle Academy#84 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
68%58%
Black Phoenix · 72 mapsedge Black Phoenix +10%Inner Circle Academy · 20 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy pick
44%62%
Black Phoenix · 28 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +18%Inner Circle Academy · 22 maps
NukeBlack Phoenix ban
50%55%
Black Phoenix · 30 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +5%Inner Circle Academy · 16 maps
MirageInner Circle Academy ban
55%50%
Black Phoenix · 34 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Inner Circle Academy · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
48%50%
Black Phoenix · 27 mapsnearly even -2%Inner Circle Academy · 8 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
33%48%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +15%Inner Circle Academy · 23 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
62%50%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Inner Circle Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickInner Circle Academy take Anubis
5. BanInner Circle Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Nuke
DeciderCache (48% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
Black Phoenix 30%Inner Circle Academy 70%
The model gave 70% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Black Phoenix 64%Inner Circle Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Black Phoenix 48%Inner Circle Academy 52%
The model gave 52% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 60%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3