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CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
70%45%
Black Phoenix · 16 mapsedge Black Phoenix +25%UNiTY · 7 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
50%43%
Black Phoenix · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +7%UNiTY · 10 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%72%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +22%UNiTY · 14 maps
AnubisUNiTY pick
22%54%
Black Phoenix · 5 mapsedge UNiTY +32%UNiTY · 9 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
60%36%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsedge Black Phoenix +24%UNiTY · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
55%50%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%UNiTY · 6 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
42%33%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsedge Black Phoenix +9%UNiTY · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickUNiTY take Anubis
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Black Phoenix 52%UNiTY 48%
The model gave 52% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction missed1:13
Black Phoenix 76%UNiTY 24%
The model gave 76% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Black Phoenix 57%UNiTY 43%
The model gave 57% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 54%
Series resultUNiTY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3