GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Young TigeRES#184 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
64%56%
Black Phoenix · 62 mapsedge Black Phoenix +8%Young TigeRES · 5 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
52%57%
Black Phoenix · 29 mapsedge Young TigeRES +5%Young TigeRES · 3 maps
NukeYoung TigeRES pick
50%67%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsedge Young TigeRES +17%Young TigeRES · 5 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
40%50%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsedge Young TigeRES +10%Young TigeRES · 2 maps
CacheYoung TigeRES ban
46%29%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Young TigeRES · 3 maps
InfernoYoung TigeRES ban
67%50%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Young TigeRES · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
54%50%
Black Phoenix · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Young TigeRES · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanYoung TigeRES remove Cache
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickYoung TigeRES take Nuke
5. BanYoung TigeRES remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:5
Black Phoenix 66%Young TigeRES 34%
The model gave 66% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Black Phoenix 61%Young TigeRES 39%
The model gave 61% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 75%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2