CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vasco pick
22%40%
Blitzkrieg · 5 mapsedge Vasco +18%Vasco · 6 maps
DefaultBlitzkrieg pick
50%23%
Blitzkrieg · 0 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +27%Vasco · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
33%44%
Blitzkrieg · 2 mapsedge Vasco +11%Vasco · 5 maps
InfernoBlitzkrieg ban
50%50%
Blitzkrieg · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 6 maps
AncientBlitzkrieg ban
50%67%
Blitzkrieg · 0 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 2 maps
AnubisVasco ban
40%40%
Blitzkrieg · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
NukeVasco ban
33%50%
Blitzkrieg · 2 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlitzkrieg remove Inferno
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickBlitzkrieg take Default
4. PickVasco take Dust2
5. BanVasco remove Anubis
6. BanBlitzkrieg remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (33% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Blitzkrieg 77%Vasco 23%
The model gave 77% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by Blitzkrieg.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 52%
Series resultBlitzkrieg 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1