CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultVasco ban
50%19%
Blitzkrieg · 2 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +31%Vasco · 12 maps
Dust2Blitzkrieg pick
20%40%
Blitzkrieg · 6 mapsedge Vasco +20%Vasco · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
29%44%
Blitzkrieg · 3 mapsedge Vasco +15%Vasco · 5 maps
InfernoBlitzkrieg ban
50%50%
Blitzkrieg · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 6 maps
AncientVasco pick
33%67%
Blitzkrieg · 2 mapsedge Vasco +34%Vasco · 2 maps
AnubisVasco ban
40%40%
Blitzkrieg · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
NukeBlitzkrieg ban
33%50%
Blitzkrieg · 2 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlitzkrieg remove Nuke
2. BanVasco remove Default
3. PickBlitzkrieg take Dust2
4. PickVasco take Ancient
5. BanVasco remove Anubis
6. BanBlitzkrieg remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (29% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Blitzkrieg 81%Vasco 19%
The model gave 81% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by Blitzkrieg.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlitzkrieg · 59%
Series resultBlitzkrieg 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1