ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BMZ#121 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Last Bullet#210 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
BMZ 47%Last Bullet 53%
The model gave 53% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Last Bullet.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
BMZ 53%Last Bullet 47%
The model gave 53% on BMZ — the map was taken by BMZ.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
BMZ 50%Last Bullet 50%
The model gave 50% on BMZ — the map was taken by BMZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteBMZ · 63%
Series resultBMZ 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3