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CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
BORRACHEIROS#179 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBESTIA Academy pick
33%67%
BORRACHEIROS · 5 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +34%BESTIA Academy · 8 maps
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
54%43%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +11%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
40%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 6 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
63%56%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +7%BESTIA Academy · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +21%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
AnubisBESTIA Academy ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
29%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +31%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Anubis
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Inferno
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct20:22
BORRACHEIROS 19%BESTIA Academy 81%
The model gave 81% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
BORRACHEIROS 43%BESTIA Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
BORRACHEIROS 20%BESTIA Academy 80%
The model gave 80% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORRACHEIROS · 54%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3