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CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BORRACHEIROS#179 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
46%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsnearly even -4%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
54%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsnearly even +4%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
InfernoBORRACHEIROS ban
36%33%
BORRACHEIROS · 7 mapsnearly even +3%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
AnubisDAMAJUANA ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
DefaultDAMAJUANA pick
67%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 5 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +7%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
25%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +15%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Default
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Anubis
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (46% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
BORRACHEIROS 57%DAMAJUANA 43%
The model gave 57% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
BORRACHEIROS 31%DAMAJUANA 69%
The model gave 69% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
BORRACHEIROS 50%DAMAJUANA 50%
The model gave 50% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORRACHEIROS · 63%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3