BetBoom RUSH B Summit Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
59%50%
Bounty Hunters · 18 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +9%Fluxo · 10 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
80%58%
Bounty Hunters · 16 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +22%Fluxo · 8 maps
MirageFluxo pick
59%75%
Bounty Hunters · 18 mapsedge Fluxo +16%Fluxo · 4 maps
AncientFluxo ban
55%29%
Bounty Hunters · 18 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +26%Fluxo · 3 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
45%44%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Fluxo · 5 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%38%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Fluxo · 4 maps
CacheFluxo ban
50%40%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +10%Fluxo · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
4. PickFluxo take Mirage
5. BanFluxo remove Cache
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (59% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
Bounty Hunters 76%Fluxo 24%
The model gave 76% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
Bounty Hunters 56%Fluxo 44%
The model gave 56% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 58%
Series resultFluxo 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2