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BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GameHunters#122 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GameHunters ban
58%33%
Bounty Hunters · 15 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +25%GameHunters · 2 maps
AncientBounty Hunters pick
63%50%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +13%GameHunters · 0 maps
MirageGameHunters ban
67%40%
Bounty Hunters · 11 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +27%GameHunters · 1 map
Nukepossible decider
77%50%
Bounty Hunters · 9 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +27%GameHunters · 2 maps
DefaultBounty Hunters ban
50%33%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +17%GameHunters · 5 maps
AnubisGameHunters pick
38%50%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge GameHunters +12%GameHunters · 0 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
50%50%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GameHunters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanGameHunters remove Mirage
3. PickBounty Hunters take Ancient
4. PickGameHunters take Anubis
5. BanGameHunters remove Dust2
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Default
DeciderNuke (77% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Bounty Hunters 79%GameHunters 21%
The model gave 79% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Bounty Hunters 71%GameHunters 29%
The model gave 71% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Bounty Hunters 63%GameHunters 37%
The model gave 63% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 71%
Series resultGameHunters 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3