CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#106 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Stars#121 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
56%60%
Bounty Hunters · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Keyd Stars · 6 maps
AncientKeyd Stars ban
63%43%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +20%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
MirageBounty Hunters pick
75%50%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +25%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
40%50%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +10%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
40%40%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 1 map
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +10%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Mirage
4. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
Bounty Hunters 43%Keyd Stars 57%
The model gave 57% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Bounty Hunters 42%Keyd Stars 58%
The model gave 58% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 62%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2