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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#109 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RED Canids Academyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRED Canids Academy ban
47%50%
Bounty Hunters · 13 mapsnearly even -3%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
56%50%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +6%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
NukeRED Canids Academy ban
60%50%
Bounty Hunters · 11 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +10%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
AncientRED Canids Academy pick
25%50%
Bounty Hunters · 8 mapsedge RED Canids Academy +25%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
45%50%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge RED Canids Academy +5%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
57%50%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +7%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%50%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge RED Canids Academy +10%RED Canids Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
2. BanRED Canids Academy remove Nuke
3. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
4. PickRED Canids Academy take Ancient
5. BanRED Canids Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:2
Bounty Hunters 23%RED Canids Academy 77%
The model gave 77% on RED Canids Academy — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Cacheprediction missed4:13
Bounty Hunters 59%RED Canids Academy 41%
The model gave 59% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by RED Canids Academy.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Bounty Hunters 47%RED Canids Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on RED Canids Academy — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 67%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3