CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Turma do Pagode pick
58%67%
Bounty Hunters · 8 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +9%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
AncientBounty Hunters pick
64%67%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsnearly even -3%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
78%40%
Bounty Hunters · 5 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +38%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
56%50%
Bounty Hunters · 5 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +6%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
40%67%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +27%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
50%50%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
3. PickBounty Hunters take Ancient
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Dust2
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Bounty Hunters 86%Turma do Pagode 14%
The model gave 86% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
Bounty Hunters 47%Turma do Pagode 53%
The model gave 53% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Bounty Hunters 41%Turma do Pagode 59%
The model gave 59% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 70%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3