ESEA Season 57 North America Finals · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Overtake Sector#143 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBrahmas pick
67%38%
Brahmas · 2 mapsedge Brahmas +29%Overtake Sector · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
Brahmas · 2 mapsedge Brahmas +17%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
AncientOvertake Sector ban
50%29%
Brahmas · 0 mapsedge Brahmas +21%Overtake Sector · 3 maps
Dust2Brahmas ban
50%50%
Brahmas · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
NukeOvertake Sector ban
50%50%
Brahmas · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Overtake Sector · 0 maps
OverpassOvertake Sector pick
40%60%
Brahmas · 1 mapedge Overtake Sector +20%Overtake Sector · 1 map
AnubisBrahmas ban
50%60%
Brahmas · 0 mapsedge Overtake Sector +10%Overtake Sector · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBrahmas remove Anubis
2. BanOvertake Sector remove Nuke
3. PickBrahmas take Mirage
4. PickOvertake Sector take Overpass
5. BanOvertake Sector remove Ancient
6. BanBrahmas remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct12:16
Brahmas 37%Overtake Sector 63%
The model gave 63% on Overtake Sector — the map was taken by Overtake Sector.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Brahmas 79%Overtake Sector 21%
The model gave 79% on Brahmas — the map was taken by Overtake Sector.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrahmas · 50%
Series resultOvertake Sector 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2