CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientbrazylijski luz pick
47%60%
brazylijski luz · 11 mapsedge The Last Resort +13%The Last Resort · 6 maps
Nukebrazylijski luz ban
50%36%
brazylijski luz · 6 mapsedge brazylijski luz +14%The Last Resort · 7 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
40%30%
brazylijski luz · 6 mapsedge brazylijski luz +10%The Last Resort · 6 maps
Overpassbrazylijski luz ban
60%58%
brazylijski luz · 1 mapnearly even +2%The Last Resort · 8 maps
AnubisThe Last Resort pick
57%71%
brazylijski luz · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +14%The Last Resort · 3 maps
Dust2The Last Resort ban
63%40%
brazylijski luz · 4 mapsedge brazylijski luz +23%The Last Resort · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
57%60%
brazylijski luz · 3 mapsnearly even -3%The Last Resort · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbrazylijski luz remove Overpass
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
3. Pickbrazylijski luz take Ancient
4. PickThe Last Resort take Anubis
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
6. Banbrazylijski luz remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct6:13
brazylijski luz 49%The Last Resort 51%
The model gave 51% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
brazylijski luz 40%The Last Resort 60%
The model gave 60% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoritebrazylijski luz · 51%
Series resultThe Last Resort 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2