CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
BRUTE#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BAKS#106 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheBAKS pick
70%64%
BRUTE · 6 mapsedge BRUTE +6%BAKS · 29 maps
Dust2BRUTE pick
63%41%
BRUTE · 15 mapsedge BRUTE +22%BAKS · 18 maps
Miragepossible decider
58%71%
BRUTE · 15 mapsedge BAKS +13%BAKS · 10 maps
NukeBRUTE ban
55%44%
BRUTE · 7 mapsedge BRUTE +11%BAKS · 14 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
44%50%
BRUTE · 14 mapsedge BAKS +6%BAKS · 0 maps
InfernoBAKS ban
63%31%
BRUTE · 4 mapsedge BRUTE +32%BAKS · 9 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
33%64%
BRUTE · 2 mapsedge BAKS +31%BAKS · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickBRUTE take Dust2
4. PickBAKS take Cache
5. BanBAKS remove Inferno
6. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (58% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed8:13
BRUTE 54%BAKS 46%
The model gave 54% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BAKS.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
BRUTE 81%BAKS 19%
The model gave 81% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
BRUTE 60%BAKS 40%
The model gave 60% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 52%
Series resultBRUTE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3