CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Illyrians#144 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
70%41%
Bushido Wildcats · 46 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +29%Illyrians · 13 maps
MirageIllyrians pick
56%63%
Bushido Wildcats · 37 mapsedge Illyrians +7%Illyrians · 15 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
53%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 30 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +13%Illyrians · 1 map
CacheIllyrians ban
59%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%Illyrians · 4 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
47%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Illyrians · 2 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
47%71%
Bushido Wildcats · 11 mapsedge Illyrians +24%Illyrians · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
73%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickIllyrians take Mirage
5. BanIllyrians remove Cache
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (73% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct14:16
Bushido Wildcats 24%Illyrians 76%
The model gave 76% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Cacheprediction missed7:13
Bushido Wildcats 62%Illyrians 38%
The model gave 62% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 63%
Series resultIllyrians 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2