CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#113 in the world · win 1:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Johnny Speeds#81 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
69%56%
Bushido Wildcats · 48 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +13%Johnny Speeds · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
55%31%
Bushido Wildcats · 38 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +24%Johnny Speeds · 9 maps
NukeBushido Wildcats ban
55%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 29 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
CacheJohnny Speeds ban
54%45%
Bushido Wildcats · 20 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%Johnny Speeds · 7 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
50%67%
Bushido Wildcats · 14 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%Johnny Speeds · 2 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
41%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Johnny Speeds · 1 map
DefaultJohnny Speeds pick
73%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%Johnny Speeds · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickJohnny Speeds take Default
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Cache
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (55% / 31%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Bushido Wildcats 73%Johnny Speeds 27%
The model gave 73% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 53%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1