CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:1series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
76%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 42 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +26%megoshort · 8 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats ban
56%46%
Bushido Wildcats · 32 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%megoshort · 9 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
52%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 27 mapsnearly even +2%megoshort · 0 maps
Cachemegoshort pick
57%63%
Bushido Wildcats · 17 mapsedge megoshort +6%megoshort · 4 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
50%57%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge megoshort +7%megoshort · 3 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
40%38%
Bushido Wildcats · 11 mapsnearly even +2%megoshort · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
80%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +40%megoshort · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. Pickmegoshort take Cache
5. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (80% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Bushido Wildcats 42%megoshort 58%
The model gave 58% on megoshort — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Bushido Wildcats 78%megoshort 22%
The model gave 78% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by megoshort.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Bushido Wildcats 59%megoshort 41%
The model gave 59% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 77%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3