European Pro League Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#113 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NAVI Junior#85 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
76%42%
Bushido Wildcats · 37 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +34%NAVI Junior · 8 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
56%62%
Bushido Wildcats · 28 mapsedge NAVI Junior +6%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
54%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 24 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +14%NAVI Junior · 6 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
53%42%
Bushido Wildcats · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +11%NAVI Junior · 8 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
63%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%NAVI Junior · 1 map
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
38%33%
Bushido Wildcats · 9 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 1 mapnearly even +0%NAVI Junior · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (54% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Bushido Wildcats 83%NAVI Junior 17%
The model gave 83% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
Bushido Wildcats 42%NAVI Junior 58%
The model gave 58% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Bushido Wildcats 62%NAVI Junior 38%
The model gave 62% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 73%
Series resultNAVI Junior 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3