CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
73%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 44 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
MiragePhantom Academy pick
57%75%
Bushido Wildcats · 33 mapsedge Phantom Academy +18%Phantom Academy · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
53%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 28 mapsnearly even +3%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
59%42%
Bushido Wildcats · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
50%43%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
44%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge Phantom Academy +6%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%43%
Bushido Wildcats · 1 mapnearly even -3%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
DeciderNuke (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Bushido Wildcats 75%Phantom Academy 25%
The model gave 75% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Bushido Wildcats 50%Phantom Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Bushido Wildcats 30%Phantom Academy 70%
The model gave 70% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 71%
Series resultPhantom Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3