NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Butterfly#127 in the worldseries probability
45%55%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Fire Flux#103 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
68%57%
Butterfly · 15 mapsedge Butterfly +11%Fire Flux · 19 maps
NukeButterfly pick
59%50%
Butterfly · 18 mapsedge Butterfly +9%Fire Flux · 12 maps
InfernoFire Flux pick
21%65%
Butterfly · 15 mapsedge Fire Flux +44%Fire Flux · 13 maps
MirageFire Flux ban
65%53%
Butterfly · 13 mapsedge Butterfly +12%Fire Flux · 15 maps
AnubisButterfly ban
40%68%
Butterfly · 1 mapedge Fire Flux +28%Fire Flux · 18 maps
CacheButterfly ban
63%61%
Butterfly · 4 mapsnearly even +2%Fire Flux · 14 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
59%25%
Butterfly · 13 mapsedge Butterfly +34%Fire Flux · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Anubis
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickButterfly take Nuke
4. PickFire Flux take Inferno
5. BanFire Flux remove Mirage
6. BanButterfly remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (68% / 57%)