CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Butterfly#127 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRune Eaters pick
70%59%
Butterfly · 6 mapsedge Butterfly +11%Rune Eaters · 25 maps
Dust2Butterfly ban
63%55%
Butterfly · 4 mapsedge Butterfly +8%Rune Eaters · 25 maps
AncientButterfly pick
75%54%
Butterfly · 4 mapsedge Butterfly +21%Rune Eaters · 20 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
25%50%
Butterfly · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +25%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
67%44%
Butterfly · 5 mapsedge Butterfly +23%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Butterfly · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
AnubisButterfly ban
40%60%
Butterfly · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +20%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Anubis
2. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
3. PickButterfly take Ancient
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
6. BanButterfly remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Butterfly 74%Rune Eaters 26%
The model gave 74% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Butterfly 55%Rune Eaters 45%
The model gave 55% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 51%
Series resultButterfly 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2