PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheantivalue pick
40%50%
Celestial · 1 mapedge antivalue +10%antivalue · 0 maps
Infernoantivalue ban
40%50%
Celestial · 1 mapedge antivalue +10%antivalue · 0 maps
MirageCelestial pick
40%50%
Celestial · 1 mapedge antivalue +10%antivalue · 0 maps
NukeCelestial ban
40%50%
Celestial · 1 mapedge antivalue +10%antivalue · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCelestial remove Nuke
2. Banantivalue remove Inferno
3. PickCelestial take Mirage
4. Pickantivalue take Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Celestial 47%antivalue 53%
The model gave 53% on antivalue — the map was taken by Celestial.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
Celestial 53%antivalue 47%
The model gave 53% on Celestial — the map was taken by antivalue.
Infernoprediction correct13:16
Celestial 40%antivalue 60%
The model gave 60% on antivalue — the map was taken by antivalue.
Model check result
Model favoriteantivalue · 50%
Series resultantivalue 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3