BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:1
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
OverpassCHAOS ban
50%43%
CHAOS · 0 mapsedge CHAOS +7%KOLESIE · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%33%
CHAOS · 0 mapsedge CHAOS +17%KOLESIE · 2 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%40%
CHAOS · 0 mapsedge CHAOS +10%KOLESIE · 1 map
Dust2CHAOS ban
50%40%
CHAOS · 0 mapsedge CHAOS +10%KOLESIE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCHAOS remove Overpass
2. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
3. BanCHAOS remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
CHAOS 50%KOLESIE 50%
The model gave 50% on CHAOS — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 73%
Series resultKOLESIE 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1