iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Coop#151 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoChicken Coop ban
33%42%
Chicken Coop · 8 mapsedge Wildcard +9%Wildcard · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
44%50%
Chicken Coop · 5 mapsedge Wildcard +6%Wildcard · 4 maps
NukeChicken Coop pick
57%25%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsedge Chicken Coop +32%Wildcard · 4 maps
MirageChicken Coop ban
40%38%
Chicken Coop · 1 mapnearly even +2%Wildcard · 4 maps
CacheWildcard ban
40%43%
Chicken Coop · 1 mapnearly even -3%Wildcard · 3 maps
DefaultWildcard pick
43%50%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsedge Wildcard +7%Wildcard · 0 maps
AncientWildcard ban
33%50%
Chicken Coop · 2 mapsedge Wildcard +17%Wildcard · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChicken Coop remove Mirage
2. BanWildcard remove Ancient
3. PickChicken Coop take Nuke
4. PickWildcard take Default
5. BanWildcard remove Cache
6. BanChicken Coop remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Chicken Coop 82%Wildcard 18%
The model gave 82% on Chicken Coop — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Chicken Coop 38%Wildcard 62%
The model gave 62% on Wildcard — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard · 85%
Series resultWildcard 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2